Article on Nuclear Forensics

A bit late, but I had an article published in the Federation of American Scientists’ quarterly journal, Public Interest Report.The article, “False Hope of Nuclear Forensics? Assessing the Timeliness of Forensics Intelligence”, analyzes the dynamics of terrorism response alongside the likely timeline for meaningful intelligence from forensics following a nuclear or radiological attack. A short excerpt: […]

The Lavizan-3 Site

Today, a short piece I did on the allegations that there is a secret centrifuge facility at the Matiran site in Iran was posted today at ArmsControlWonk. It can be found here: http://lewis.armscontrolwonk.com/archive/7579/lavizan-3 Text of the piece: The Lavizan-3 Site Phillip Baxter On Tuesday, the exiled National Council of Resistance of Iran announced that Iran had […]

Rethinking Strategic Stability – Part 1

This past week I attended meetings with the former head of STRATCOM in which deterrence and strategic stability were a key focus. The former official mentioned a couple of times the article a few years ago by the ‘4 Horsemen’, in which the statesmen argue that nuclear weapons are now destabilizing, rather than stabilizing. This is a […]

Technological innovation and weapon use

In the newest edition of The Bulletin of Atomic Scientists, Hans Kristensen and Robert Norris discuss the newest addition to the B61 family of nuclear weapons. They briefly describe the improvement: The Obama administration has approved an upgrade to the B61 nuclear bomb, one of the most versatile and numerous nuclear warheads in the US stockpile. The new type, […]

NPT PrepCom Visit

I am in New York this week to attend meetings and observe at the 2014 Preparatory Meetings for the 2015 NPT Review Conference. The meetings began last week, covering issues of disarmament and nonproliferation in the first week, and started with peaceful uses (Cluster 3) statements on Monday. There are several takeaways that I thought I […]

Japan’s Nuclear Policy

Norihiro Kato of Waseda University in Tokyo has a recent opinion piece in the NY Times, entitled Ambiguities of Japan’s Nuclear Policy. The OpEd argues that Japan has maintained a “technological deterrent” by having the breakout capacity to achieve a nuclear weapon quickly if so provoked. This is achieved by maintain the material to create a device […]